how likely is a team to win a playoff series if they win game 1

The Toronto Maple Leafs have won 53 times in the playoffs in wins all-time.

	TEAM	W	GP	L	T	OTL	PTS	PTS%	SOW	SOL	G	GA	DIFF	PP%	PK%	S/GP	S%	SA/GP	SV%
1	Maple Leafs	53	53	0	0	0	106	1.000	0	0	193	84	109	18.9	90.8	29.43	12.7	29.10	.946
2	Canadiens	92	92	0	0	0	184	1.000	0	0	380	160	220	21.8	88.4	32.69	13.3	27.07	.930
3	Metropolitans	1	1	0	0	0	2	1.000	0	0	7	0	7
4	Senators	7	7	0	0	0	14	1.000	0	0	20	4	16
5	Millionaires	2	2	0	0	0	4	1.000	0	0	7	4	3
6	Cougars	1	1	0	0	0	2	1.000	0	0	5	2	3
7	Maroons	12	12	0	0	0	24	1.000	0	0	25	6	19
8	Bruins	74	74	0	0	0	148	1.000	0	0	299	118	181	25.3	85.6	32.27	13.7	28.09	.938
9	Rangers	57	57	0	0	0	114	1.000	0	0	216	78	138	23.5	91.3	29.83	13.4	27.76	.941
10	Blackhawks	48	48	0	0	0	96	1.000	0	0	169	81	88	25.3	87.2	33.26	11.5	33.23	.943
11	Red Wings	65	65	0	0	0	130	1.000	0	0	230	97	133	21.0	87.1	31.50	11.3	25.10	.934
12	Americans	3	3	0	0	0	6	1.000	0	0	8	2	6
13	Kings	22	22	0	0	0	44	1.000	0	0	90	54	36	27.5	89.1	33.00	12.4	29.45	.917
14	Blues	39	39	0	0	0	78	1.000	0	0	144	62	82	23.6	92.5	30.51	12.1	29.79	.947
15	Penguins	35	35	0	0	0	70	1.000	0	0	141	65	76	26.1	84.8	30.03	13.4	31.37	.941
16	Stars	37	37	0	0	0	74	1.000	0	0	134	65	69	23.0	89.4	31.70	11.4	28.86	.939
17	Flyers	39	39	0	0	0	78	1.000	0	0	152	66	86	27.2	81.9	31.59	12.3	27.44	.938
18	Islanders	34	34	0	0	0	68	1.000	0	0	155	63	92	30.7	83.5	30.71	14.8	30.24	.939
19	Sabres	30	30	0	0	0	60	1.000	0	0	109	53	56	19.5	89.0	28.43	12.8	28.73	.939
20	Canucks	26	26	0	0	0	52	1.000	0	0	100	56	44	22.0	81.4	32.54	11.8	32.81	.934
21	Flames	21	21	0	0	0	42	1.000	0	0	84	38	46	19.5	91.6	32.57	12.3	27.95	.935
22	Oilers	32	32	0	0	0	64	1.000	0	0	152	65	87	19.3	83.7	32.38	14.7	29.13	.930
23	Capitals	31	31	0	0	0	62	1.000	0	0	108	60	48	21.4	83.5	30.65	11.4	28.45	.932
24	Avalanche	38	38	0	0	0	76	1.000	0	0	153	69	84	24.4	88.1	32.71	12.3	27.50	.934
25	Coyotes	8	8	0	0	0	16	1.000	0	0	33	23	10	44.8	72.2	30.50	13.5	34.63	.917