how likely are the warriors to win when down by 15 points in the playoffs

The Golden State Warriors won when the point differential was 15 or above points in Game 5 of the 2023 Western Conference Semifinals against the Lakers on May 10, 2023.

Interpreted as:

How likely are the warriors to win when down by 15 or more points in the playoffs?

	TEAM	DATE	W	DIFF	TM		OPP	RESULT	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	FGM	FGA	FG%	3PM	3PA	3P%	FTM	FTA	FT%	TS%	OREB	DREB	TOV	PF
1	Warriors	5/10/2023	1	15	GSW	vs	LAL	W 121-106	240	121	48	29	8	5	47	92	51.1	13	35	37.1	14	15	93.3	61.4	9	39	14	18
2	Warriors	5/4/2023	1	27	GSW	vs	LAL	W 127-100	240	127	55	38	2	3	48	95	50.5	21	42	50.0	10	16	62.5	62.2	13	42	15	23
3	Warriors	4/30/2023	1	20	GSW	@	SAC	W 120-100	240	120	55	25	4	6	43	100	43.0	15	46	32.6	19	30	63.3	53.0	18	37	7	23
4	Warriors	4/20/2023	1	17	GSW	vs	SAC	W 114-97	240	114	59	31	12	5	40	100	40.0	16	50	32.0	18	23	78.3	51.8	18	41	11	19
5	Warriors	6/5/2022	1	19	GSW	vs	BOS	W 107-88	240	107	42	25	15	2	39	86	45.3	15	37	40.5	14	20	70.0	56.4	6	36	12	17
6	Warriors	5/18/2022	1	25	GSW	vs	DAL	W 112-87	240	112	51	24	8	7	46	82	56.1	10	29	34.5	10	16	62.5	62.9	7	44	15	22
7	Warriors	5/7/2022	1	30	GSW	vs	MEM	W 142-112	240	142	38	34	5	4	53	85	62.4	17	32	53.1	19	21	90.5	75.3	4	34	16	24
8	Warriors	4/18/2022	1	20	GSW	vs	DEN	W 126-106	240	126	35	27	10	8	46	84	54.8	17	40	42.5	17	24	70.8	66.6	6	29	9	20
9	Warriors	4/16/2022	1	16	GSW	vs	DEN	W 123-107	240	123	41	33	5	8	43	82	52.4	16	35	45.7	21	29	72.4	64.9	10	31	12	22
10	Warriors	5/14/2019	1	22	GSW	vs	POR	W 116-94	240	116	42	30	13	8	42	84	50.0	17	33	51.5	15	18	83.3	63.1	11	31	14	24
11	Warriors	4/26/2019	1	19	GSW	@	LAC	W 129-110	240	129	46	32	6	9	47	89	52.8	10	30	33.3	25	31	80.6	62.8	7	39	10	24
12	Warriors	4/18/2019	1	27	GSW	@	LAC	W 132-105	240	132	50	35	4	11	51	93	54.8	15	35	42.9	15	18	83.3	65.4	10	40	12	28
13	Warriors	4/13/2019	1	17	GSW	vs	LAC	W 121-104	240	121	54	31	9	14	45	92	48.9	14	30	46.7	17	20	85.0	60.0	12	42	21	22
14	Warriors	6/8/2018	1	23	GSW	@	CLE	W 108-85	240	108	44	25	7	13	39	86	45.3	14	38	36.8	16	16	100.0	58.0	10	34	8	24
15	Warriors	6/3/2018	1	19	GSW	vs	CLE	W 122-103	240	122	41	28	3	8	47	82	57.3	15	36	41.7	13	21	61.9	66.9	7	34	12	25
16	Warriors	5/26/2018	1	29	GSW	vs	HOU	W 115-86	240	115	47	26	11	10	43	87	49.4	16	38	42.1	13	19	68.4	60.3	13	34	12	17
17	Warriors	5/20/2018	1	41	GSW	vs	HOU	W 126-85	240	126	49	20	11	7	48	92	52.2	13	32	40.6	17	18	94.4	63.1	11	38	8	16
18	Warriors	5/6/2018	1	26	GSW	@	NOP	W 118-92	240	118	45	28	11	5	46	95	48.4	11	33	33.3	15	18	83.3	57.3	5	40	11	20
19	Warriors	4/28/2018	1	22	GSW	vs	NOP	W 123-101	240	123	57	33	8	10	44	91	48.4	11	27	40.7	24	32	75.0	58.5	13	44	13	16
20	Warriors	4/16/2018	1	15	GSW	vs	SAS	W 116-101	240	116	39	32	5	5	41	78	52.6	15	31	48.4	19	20	95.0	66.8	6	33	15	24
21	Warriors	4/14/2018	1	21	GSW	vs	SAS	W 113-92	240	113	51	32	6	6	44	81	54.3	10	22	45.5	15	22	68.2	62.3	10	41	15	18
22	Warriors	6/4/2017	1	19	GSW	vs	CLE	W 132-113	240	132	53	34	5	7	46	89	51.7	18	43	41.9	22	24	91.7	66.3	10	43	20	19
23	Warriors	6/1/2017	1	22	GSW	vs	CLE	W 113-91	240	113	50	31	12	3	45	106	42.5	12	33	36.4	11	16	68.8	50.0	14	36	4	24
24	Warriors	5/16/2017	1	36	GSW	vs	SAS	W 136-100	240	136	40	39	16	5	50	89	56.2	18	37	48.6	18	19	94.7	69.8	6	34	16	19
25	Warriors	5/8/2017	1	26	GSW	@	UTA	W 121-95	240	121	50	28	8	3	43	84	51.2	11	26	42.3	24	27	88.9	63.1	6	44	11	26