which player is most likely to score 22 points in a playoff game

Myles Turner put up 23 points in Game 2 of the 2025 Eastern Conference Semifinals against the Cavaliers yesterday.

Interpreted as:

Which player is most likely to score 22 or more points in a playoff game?

	NAME	DATE	PTS	TM		OPP	MIN	REB	AST	STL	BLK	FGM	FGA	FG%	3PM	3PA	3P%	FTM	FTA	FT%	TS%	OREB	DREB	TOV	PF	+/-
1	Myles Turner M. Turner	5/6/2025	23	IND	@	CLE	35	8	1	1	5	8	17	47.1	2	5	40.0	5	6	83.3	58.6	2	6	1	3	+15
2	Donovan Mitchell D. Mitchell	5/6/2025	48	CLE	vs	IND	36	5	9	4	1	15	30	50.0	1	7	14.3	17	21	81.0	61.2	2	3	5	4	+13
3	Jarrett Allen J. Allen	5/6/2025	22	CLE	vs	IND	38	12	3	0	3	7	9	77.8	0	0		8	8	100.0	87.9	1	11	4	4	-5
4	Max Strus M. Strus	5/6/2025	23	CLE	vs	IND	39	8	4	0	0	8	18	44.4	5	12	41.7	2	2	100.0	60.9	5	3	2	3	-14
5	Aaron Nesmith A. Nesmith	5/6/2025	23	IND	@	CLE	33	4	1	1	3	8	13	61.5	5	8	62.5	2	2	100.0	82.9	3	1	0	4	-2
6	Buddy Hield B. Hield	5/6/2025	24	GSW	@	MIN	40	8	3	1	0	7	19	36.8	5	8	62.5	5	5	100.0	56.6	4	4	0	0	+22
7	Anthony Edwards A. Edwards	5/6/2025	23	MIN	vs	GSW	42	14	2	3	1	9	22	40.9	1	5	20.0	4	5	80.0	47.5	1	13	3	1	-4
8	Jaylen Brown J. Brown	5/5/2025	23	BOS	vs	NYK	45	7	5	0	0	7	20	35.0	1	10	10.0	8	10	80.0	47.1	2	5	2	3	+1
9	Jayson Tatum J. Tatum	5/5/2025	23	BOS	vs	NYK	44	16	6	2	1	7	23	30.4	4	15	26.7	5	7	71.4	44.1	0	16	5	2	-5
10	OG Anunoby	5/5/2025	29	NYK	@	BOS	46	4	3	1	0	10	20	50.0	6	11	54.5	3	4	75.0	66.6	1	3	3	1	-1
11	Jalen Brunson J. Brunson	5/5/2025	29	NYK	@	BOS	44	4	5	2	0	9	23	39.1	5	9	55.6	6	7	85.7	55.6	1	3	4	4	+2
12	Aaron Gordon A. Gordon	5/5/2025	22	DEN	@	OKC	39	14	1	0	0	7	15	46.7	3	6	50.0	5	5	100.0	64.0	7	7	1	2	+16
13	Nikola Jokić N. Jokić	5/5/2025	42	DEN	@	OKC	42	22	6	1	2	15	29	51.7	2	6	33.3	10	13	76.9	60.5	5	17	7	5	+10
14	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander S. Gilgeous-Alexander	5/5/2025	33	OKC	vs	DEN	40	10	8	2	1	12	26	46.2	2	6	33.3	7	9	77.8	55.1	3	7	1	4	-16
15	Stephen Curry S. Curry	5/4/2025	22	GSW	@	HOU	46	10	7	2	2	8	16	50.0	4	10	40.0	2	2	100.0	65.2	0	10	2	3	+16
16	Buddy Hield B. Hield	5/4/2025	33	GSW	@	HOU	37	3	3	1	2	12	15	80.0	9	11	81.8	0	0		110.0	1	2	0	1	+17
17	Amen Thompson A. Thompson	5/4/2025	24	HOU	vs	GSW	37	9	3	1	1	9	16	56.3	0	1	0.0	6	6	100.0	64.4	3	6	0	2	-11
18	Donovan Mitchell D. Mitchell	5/4/2025	33	CLE	vs	IND	34	5	4	1	0	13	30	43.3	1	11	9.1	6	9	66.7	48.6	0	5	0	2	-19
19	Tyrese Haliburton T. Haliburton	5/4/2025	22	IND	@	CLE	36	3	13	1	3	9	15	60.0	2	6	33.3	2	2	100.0	69.3	0	3	1	1	+11
20	Andrew Nembhard A. Nembhard	5/4/2025	23	IND	@	CLE	37	0	6	0	0	7	10	70.0	5	6	83.3	4	4	100.0	97.8	0	0	0	1	+21
21	Kawhi Leonard K. Leonard	5/3/2025	22	LAC	@	DEN	33	5	2	0	2	6	13	46.2	2	4	50.0	8	9	88.9	64.9	1	4	1	3	-33
22	Aaron Gordon A. Gordon	5/3/2025	22	DEN	vs	LAC	36	4	5	1	1	9	16	56.3	0	3	0.0	4	4	100.0	61.9	2	2	1	5	+23
23	Jimmy Butler III J. Butler III	5/2/2025	27	GSW	vs	HOU	42	9	8	0	1	7	17	41.2	1	6	16.7	12	14	85.7	58.3	2	7	1	2	-12
24	Stephen Curry S. Curry	5/2/2025	29	GSW	vs	HOU	42	7	2	2	1	9	23	39.1	6	16	37.5	5	6	83.3	56.6	1	6	5	4	-11
25	Fred VanVleet F. VanVleet	5/2/2025	29	HOU	@	GSW	40	8	8	0	0	7	13	53.8	6	9	66.7	9	9	100.0	85.5	1	7	2	3	+12