what is the chances of winning for a team that trail by exact 10 points at the end of the 3rd quarter

The Washington Wizards won 3 times with a point differential of 10 or above in the third quarter this season.

Interpreted as:

What is the chances of winning for a team that trail by exact 10 or more points at the end of the 3rd quarter this regular season?

	TEAM	W	DIFF	SEASON	GP	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	SPG	BPG	FGM	FGA	FG%	3PM	3PA	3P%	FTM	FTA	FT%	TS%	OREB	DREB	TPG	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF
1	Wizards	3	47	2024-25	4	60.0	30.0	11.3	6.0	2.0	1.0	10.8	19.8	54.4	5.0	10.5	47.6	3.5	4.3	82.4	69.4	1.3	10.0	2.5	240	120	45	24	8	4	10	17
2	Jazz	4	61	2024-25	5	60.0	37.6	15.2	9.4	2.4	1.2	13.6	23.0	59.1	5.2	10.2	51.0	5.2	6.8	76.5	72.3	4.2	11.0	4.8	300	188	76	47	12	6	24	28
3	Hornets	2	68	2024-25	6	60.0	31.8	11.5	7.5	2.7	1.0	10.5	21.8	48.1	5.7	11.0	51.5	5.2	6.8	75.6	64.1	2.2	9.3	2.2	360	191	69	45	16	6	13	29
4	Nets	2	70	2024-25	5	60.0	32.2	11.6	8.4	3.8	0.8	11.2	22.4	50.0	4.2	9.8	42.9	5.6	6.6	84.8	63.6	2.8	8.8	2.8	300	161	58	42	19	4	14	27
5	Pelicans	4	89	2024-25	7	60.0	35.6	13.1	8.4	2.9	2.0	13.3	23.4	56.7	4.3	8.1	52.6	4.7	5.9	80.5	68.4	2.3	10.9	2.3	420	249	92	59	20	14	16	33
6	Lakers	5	98	2024-25	7	60.0	34.1	12.6	9.3	2.1	1.4	12.1	21.3	57.0	5.3	10.3	51.4	4.6	5.7	80.0	71.7	2.0	10.6	2.4	420	239	88	65	15	10	17	30
7	Suns	6	112	2024-25	7	60.0	36.0	12.9	10.1	2.4	1.6	13.9	23.4	59.1	5.6	10.9	51.3	2.7	2.9	95.0	72.9	2.0	10.9	1.6	420	252	90	71	17	11	11	22
8	Raptors	6	114	2024-25	8	60.0	33.6	14.9	8.9	1.6	2.0	12.4	23.6	52.4	4.4	10.0	43.8	4.5	6.1	73.5	63.9	3.8	11.1	3.5	480	269	119	71	13	16	28	41
9	76ers	5	117	2024-25	9	60.0	36.7	11.4	8.1	2.8	1.7	13.9	23.2	59.8	4.3	9.6	45.3	4.6	5.7	80.4	71.3	2.8	8.7	2.6	540	330	103	73	25	15	23	38
10	Mavericks	8	119	2024-25	9	60.0	35.8	13.1	7.1	2.4	1.4	13.0	22.7	57.4	3.7	7.8	47.1	6.1	7.8	78.6	68.6	3.2	9.9	3.1	540	322	118	64	22	13	28	36
11	Bucks	9	142	2024-25	11	60.0	33.3	12.1	6.5	2.6	1.6	11.5	20.5	56.2	4.0	9.2	43.6	6.2	8.0	77.3	69.1	2.1	10.0	3.0	660	366	133	72	29	18	33	46
12	Pacers	7	145	2024-25	11	60.0	37.2	12.1	9.9	2.5	1.8	13.1	22.5	58.3	4.6	9.0	51.5	6.4	8.3	76.9	71.2	2.9	9.2	2.8	660	409	133	109	27	20	31	67
13	Pistons	9	158	2024-25	13	60.0	34.1	13.2	8.1	2.5	1.9	13.0	22.8	57.1	4.5	9.0	49.6	3.6	4.6	78.3	68.7	3.5	9.7	3.1	780	443	171	105	32	25	40	55
14	Timberwolves	9	164	2024-25	11	60.0	38.0	10.7	8.3	2.7	1.8	13.5	22.8	59.4	5.5	10.5	52.2	5.5	6.5	84.5	74.1	2.2	8.5	1.9	660	418	118	91	30	20	21	62
15	Heat	11	171	2024-25	12	60.0	36.3	12.3	9.3	2.8	1.2	12.9	22.9	56.4	5.4	10.2	53.3	5.1	6.1	83.6	71.0	2.8	9.5	2.3	720	436	148	111	34	14	28	48
16	Hawks	10	182	2024-25	13	60.0	36.7	14.4	9.5	3.6	1.5	13.9	25.6	54.4	5.0	10.6	47.1	3.8	5.5	70.4	65.5	4.2	10.2	2.8	780	477	187	123	47	19	37	60
17	Bulls	11	183	2024-25	12	60.0	37.3	13.4	8.8	2.8	1.2	13.6	23.8	57.2	4.8	9.5	50.9	5.3	6.3	84.0	70.3	2.9	10.5	2.4	720	447	161	106	33	14	29	54
18	Spurs	11	184	2024-25	13	60.0	37.0	12.6	9.2	2.8	2.1	12.9	22.4	57.7	4.8	9.4	50.8	6.4	8.1	79.0	71.3	2.8	9.8	2.5	780	481	164	120	37	27	32	52
19	Cavaliers	15	198	2024-25	16	60.0	36.3	13.3	9.4	2.6	1.6	13.8	24.1	57.4	4.9	11.3	43.1	3.8	4.6	82.4	69.6	3.1	10.1	2.6	960	581	212	150	41	26	41	81
20	Trail Blazers	13	206	2024-25	16	60.0	35.3	13.3	8.6	2.4	2.0	13.0	24.1	53.9	4.9	10.1	49.1	4.3	5.4	80.2	66.5	3.9	9.4	3.0	960	564	212	137	38	32	48	71
21	Rockets	14	217	2024-25	16	60.0	36.2	13.6	7.9	3.1	1.0	13.6	24.9	54.8	4.3	9.2	46.3	4.7	5.9	78.9	65.8	3.9	9.7	3.3	960	579	217	126	49	16	53	80
22	Celtics	14	222	2024-25	16	60.0	35.8	13.7	8.3	2.0	1.6	12.9	23.8	54.5	6.6	13.1	50.7	3.3	4.1	80.3	70.0	3.3	10.4	2.8	960	573	219	133	32	26	44	52
23	Knicks	15	232	2024-25	17	60.0	36.0	12.1	8.6	2.3	1.2	13.0	23.2	56.1	4.8	9.5	50.3	5.2	6.0	87.3	69.7	2.9	9.1	2.6	1,020	612	205	146	39	20	44	69
24	Kings	13	236	2024-25	17	60.0	36.8	12.4	7.8	3.1	1.8	13.5	24.0	56.4	4.2	8.6	48.3	5.6	6.8	81.9	68.2	3.4	9.0	2.4	1,020	626	210	132	52	30	41	76
25	Clippers	13	237	2024-25	15	60.0	37.2	12.3	8.3	3.7	1.0	13.9	23.1	60.4	4.1	8.5	48.4	5.2	6.1	85.7	72.3	2.7	9.7	2.7	900	558	185	124	55	15	40	78