what is the likelihood of winning first round series if a team wins first two games

Tommy Byrnes won against the Toronto Huskies on November 1, 1946.

		NAME	DATE	W	TM		OPP	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	FGM	FGA	FG%	3PM	3PA	3P%	FTM	FTA	FT%	TS%	OREB	DREB	TOV	PF	+/-
1		Tommy Byrnes T. Byrnes	11/1/1946	1	NYK	@	TOR		4					1						2	2	100.0					2
2		Leo Gottlieb L. Gottlieb	11/1/1946	1	NYK	@	TOR		14					6						2	4	50.0					2
3		Sonny Hertzberg S. Hertzberg	11/1/1946	1	NYK	@	TOR		2					1						0	0						0
4		Ralph Kaplowitz R. Kaplowitz	11/1/1946	1	NYK	@	TOR		7					3						1	1	100.0					0
5		Nat Militzok N. Militzok	11/1/1946	1	NYK	@	TOR		5					2						1	1	100.0					4
6		Bob Mullens B. Mullens	11/1/1946	1	NYK	@	TOR		0					0						0	1	0.0					1
7		Dick Murphy D. Murphy	11/1/1946	1	NYK	@	TOR		5					2						1	1	100.0					1
8		Hank Rosenstein H. Rosenstein	11/1/1946	1	NYK	@	TOR		5					2						1	2	50.0					5
9		Ossie Schectman O. Schectman	11/1/1946	1	NYK	@	TOR		11					4						3	5	60.0					2
10		Stan Stutz S. Stutz	11/1/1946	1	NYK	@	TOR		9					2						5	5	100.0					1
11		Jake Weber J. Weber	11/1/1946	1	NYK	@	TOR		6					1						4	4	100.0					5
12		Norm Baker N. Baker	11/2/1946	1	CHI	vs	NYK		0		0			0						0	0						0
13		Don Carlson D. Carlson	11/2/1946	1	CHI	vs	NYK		0					0						0							0
14		Bill Davis B. Davis	11/2/1946	1	CHI	vs	NYK		0					0						0							2
15		Bob Duffy B. Duffy	11/2/1946	1	CHI	vs	NYK		4		0			2						0							4
16		Chuck Gilmur C. Gilmur	11/2/1946	1	CHI	vs	NYK		2					0						2							2
17		Chick Halbert C. Halbert	11/2/1946	1	CHI	vs	NYK		14					3						8							2
18		Tony Jaros T. Jaros	11/2/1946	1	CHI	vs	NYK		2					1						0							5
19		Wilbert Kautz W. Kautz	11/2/1946	1	CHI	vs	NYK		4					1						2							0
20		Doyle Parrack D. Parrack	11/2/1946	1	CHI	vs	NYK		8					3						2							1
21		Mickey Rottner M. Rottner	11/2/1946	1	CHI	vs	NYK		7					3						1							3
22		Jim Seminoff J. Seminoff	11/2/1946	1	CHI	vs	NYK		4					1						2							1
23		Max Zaslofsky M. Zaslofsky	11/2/1946	1	CHI	vs	NYK		18					7						4							0
24		Bob Feerick B. Feerick	11/2/1946	1	WAS	@	DET		14					5						4
25		Ben Goldfaden B. Goldfaden	11/2/1946	1	WAS	@	DET		1		0			0						1

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	TEAM	W	L	PCT	GB
1	Cavaliers	64	18	.780
2	Celtics	61	21	.744	3.0
3	Knicks	51	31	.622	13.0
4	Pacers	50	32	.610	14.0
5	Bucks	48	34	.585	16.0

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2	Rockets	52	30	.634	16.0
3	Lakers	50	32	.610	18.0
4	Nuggets	50	32	.610	18.0
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4	Pacers	50	32	.610	14.0
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DATE	MATCHUP			SCORE
Sun 3/30	MIA	@	WAS	120-94
Sun 3/30	LAC	@	ORL	96-87
Sun 3/30	UTA	@	CHA	106-110
Sun 3/30	BOS	@	MEM	117-103
Sun 3/30	CHI	@	OKC	117-145

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Sun 6/22	IND	@	OKC	8:00 PM